ASML Holding NV

ASMLF.US

Unconditional (B1)

July 30, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1278
Next adj up
51.0%
Mean
10.7 bp
Median
6.8 bp
Down / flat
48.8% / 0.2%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
35.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
Live
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

26

Open

1

Long / short

16 / 10

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

46.2%

Mean PnL

2.47%

Median PnL

-1.01%

Sum PnL

64.2%

Long / short mean

3.84% / 0.28%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

92.3%

Mean PnL

12.38%

Median PnL

8.10%

Sum PnL

321.8%

Long / short mean

12.81% / 11.69%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG · open Aug. 26, 2026 → Sept. 2, 2026 Aug. 27, 2026 @ 1728.76 6 0.08% -4.02%
LONG June 23, 2026 → July 10, 2026 June 24, 2026 @ 1754.37 July 13, 2026 @ 1732.06 13 13.28% -1.59% -1.27%
LONG June 11, 2026 → June 15, 2026 June 12, 2026 @ 1856.15 June 16, 2026 @ 1800.98 3 0.92% -2.97% -2.97%
LONG April 15, 2026 → June 9, 2026 April 16, 2026 @ 1449.29 June 10, 2026 @ 1726.69 39 20.81% -4.56% 19.14%
LONG Nov. 25, 2025 → March 27, 2026 Nov. 26, 2025 @ 1038.06 March 30, 2026 @ 1246.70 84 46.40% -2.09% 20.10%
LONG Sept. 15, 2025 → Nov. 3, 2025 Sept. 16, 2025 @ 865.95 Nov. 4, 2025 @ 1024.51 36 23.45% -0.86% 18.31%
LONG July 15, 2025 → July 17, 2025 July 16, 2025 @ 742.48 July 18, 2025 @ 725.48 3 0.57% -2.29% -2.29%
SHORT Feb. 28, 2025 → May 7, 2025 March 3, 2025 @ 707.75 May 8, 2025 @ 699.23 48 17.61% -2.15% 1.20%
SHORT Feb. 6, 2025 → Feb. 10, 2025 Feb. 7, 2025 @ 739.11 Feb. 11, 2025 @ 736.49 3 4.58% 0.35% 0.35%
SHORT Jan. 13, 2025 → Jan. 15, 2025 Jan. 14, 2025 @ 714.72 Jan. 16, 2025 @ 734.09 3 0.68% -2.71% -2.71%
SHORT Oct. 15, 2024 → Jan. 3, 2025 Oct. 16, 2024 @ 722.73 Jan. 6, 2025 @ 749.24 56 11.64% -3.67% -3.67%
SHORT Sept. 3, 2024 → Oct. 11, 2024 Sept. 4, 2024 @ 789.04 Oct. 14, 2024 @ 865.40 29 7.50% -9.68% -9.68%
SHORT Aug. 6, 2024 → Aug. 20, 2024 Aug. 7, 2024 @ 895.98 Aug. 21, 2024 @ 919.17 11 8.70% -2.59% -2.59%
LONG June 25, 2024 → July 16, 2024 June 26, 2024 @ 1028.54 July 17, 2024 @ 918.86 15 4.27% -10.66% -10.66%
LONG May 20, 2024 → May 29, 2024 May 21, 2024 @ 898.65 May 30, 2024 @ 950.54 7 7.40% -0.72% 5.77%
LONG April 23, 2024 → April 30, 2024 April 24, 2024 @ 854.21 May 1, 2024 @ 838.92 6 10.08% -1.79% -1.79%
LONG Jan. 8, 2024 → April 18, 2024 Jan. 9, 2024 @ 689.96 April 19, 2024 @ 832.93 71 47.03% 0.15% 20.72%
LONG Jan. 3, 2024 → Jan. 4, 2024 Jan. 4, 2024 @ 682.75 Jan. 5, 2024 @ 677.70 2 0.64% -0.74% -0.74%
LONG Dec. 22, 2023 → Dec. 29, 2023 Dec. 26, 2023 @ 767.63 Jan. 2, 2024 @ 695.45 5 -2.83% -9.40% -9.40%
SHORT Aug. 24, 2023 → Oct. 10, 2023 Aug. 25, 2023 @ 621.37 Oct. 11, 2023 @ 582.06 33 19.06% 4.43% 6.33%
LONG Aug. 23, 2023 → Aug. 23, 2023 Aug. 24, 2023 @ 677.13 Aug. 24, 2023 @ 640.32 1 -5.44% -5.44% -5.44%
LONG May 17, 2023 → July 3, 2023 May 18, 2023 @ 672.72 July 5, 2023 @ 682.82 32 6.44% -3.73% 1.50%
LONG Dec. 23, 2022 → April 14, 2023 Dec. 27, 2022 @ 541.42 April 17, 2023 @ 611.36 76 22.27% -5.05% 12.92%
SHORT Sept. 26, 2022 → Oct. 4, 2022 Sept. 27, 2022 @ 422.85 Oct. 5, 2022 @ 455.59 7 5.61% -7.74% -7.74%
SHORT Aug. 10, 2022 → Aug. 10, 2022 Aug. 11, 2022 @ 551.18 Aug. 11, 2022 @ 539.83 1 2.06% 2.06% 2.06%
SHORT Jan. 10, 2022 → July 28, 2022 Jan. 11, 2022 @ 669.67 July 29, 2022 @ 540.60 138 39.44% -4.26% 19.27%
LONG Aug. 25, 2021 → Sept. 27, 2021 Aug. 26, 2021 @ 769.35 Sept. 28, 2021 @ 750.21 23 9.59% -2.49% -2.49%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
1756.22
Price EMA100
1656.06
Price EMA200
1488.46
Volume MA20
72

Distance & streak

% from MA20
-4.47%
% from EMA100
1.48%
MA20 streak
5
Above
0
Below
5

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
70%
OBV
-846004

Candle

Close / Open %
1.76%
Body
29.000
Upper shadow
0.000
Lower shadow
0.000
Total range
29.000
Body / range
1.00
Upper / range
0.00
Lower / range
0.00
Lower 0% Body 100% Upper 0%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 in EMA200 out

Candle patterns

Has bullish pattern No bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0