Eli Lilly and Company

LLY.US

Unconditional (B1)

July 28, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1280
Next adj up
53.7%
Mean
14.6 bp
Median
12.1 bp
Down / flat
46.3% / 0.0%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
30.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
Live
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

26

Open

1

Long / short

15 / 11

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

34.6%

Mean PnL

1.13%

Median PnL

-2.03%

Sum PnL

29.3%

Long / short mean

4.44% / -3.39%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

69.2%

Mean PnL

8.22%

Median PnL

4.01%

Sum PnL

213.8%

Long / short mean

11.43% / 3.85%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG · open June 26, 2026 → Sept. 2, 2026 June 29, 2026 @ 1222.78 48 4.71% -8.76%
LONG May 28, 2026 → May 28, 2026 May 29, 2026 @ 1127.00 May 29, 2026 @ 1105.00 1 -1.95% -1.95% -1.95%
SHORT April 15, 2026 → April 30, 2026 April 16, 2026 @ 910.10 May 1, 2026 @ 961.67 12 6.63% -5.67% -5.67%
LONG Oct. 31, 2025 → March 4, 2026 Nov. 3, 2025 @ 862.33 March 5, 2026 @ 981.57 84 28.28% 3.46% 13.83%
SHORT Sept. 19, 2025 → Sept. 29, 2025 Sept. 22, 2025 @ 744.93 Sept. 30, 2025 @ 759.30 7 4.54% -1.93% -1.93%
SHORT July 29, 2025 → Sept. 10, 2025 July 30, 2025 @ 768.56 Sept. 11, 2025 @ 752.62 31 19.17% 0.65% 2.07%
SHORT July 15, 2025 → July 22, 2025 July 16, 2025 @ 768.07 July 23, 2025 @ 793.28 6 1.55% -3.28% -3.28%
SHORT June 20, 2025 → June 25, 2025 June 23, 2025 @ 765.12 June 26, 2025 @ 789.53 4 -0.01% -3.19% -3.19%
SHORT May 1, 2025 → June 9, 2025 May 2, 2025 @ 817.65 June 10, 2025 @ 801.52 27 13.33% 0.18% 1.97%
SHORT April 4, 2025 → April 4, 2025 April 7, 2025 @ 691.61 April 7, 2025 @ 717.18 1 -3.70% -3.70% -3.70%
LONG Feb. 25, 2025 → March 6, 2025 Feb. 26, 2025 @ 890.23 March 7, 2025 @ 861.71 8 3.49% -3.20% -3.20%
SHORT Nov. 15, 2024 → Jan. 29, 2025 Nov. 18, 2024 @ 725.30 Jan. 30, 2025 @ 814.37 49 1.02% -13.18% -12.28%
LONG Oct. 29, 2024 → Oct. 29, 2024 Oct. 30, 2024 @ 788.60 Oct. 30, 2024 @ 836.33 1 6.05% 6.05% 6.05%
LONG Aug. 9, 2024 → Sept. 26, 2024 Aug. 12, 2024 @ 891.76 Sept. 27, 2024 @ 866.91 34 6.32% -2.79% -2.79%
LONG May 21, 2024 → July 17, 2024 May 22, 2024 @ 789.97 July 18, 2024 @ 837.21 39 18.66% 0.24% 5.98%
LONG Feb. 7, 2024 → May 2, 2024 Feb. 8, 2024 @ 715.81 May 3, 2024 @ 723.61 60 8.97% -0.30% 1.09%
LONG Feb. 5, 2024 → Feb. 5, 2024 Feb. 6, 2024 @ 729.26 Feb. 6, 2024 @ 692.92 1 -4.98% -4.98% -4.98%
LONG Jan. 3, 2024 → Jan. 3, 2024 Jan. 4, 2024 @ 614.52 Jan. 4, 2024 @ 603.95 1 -1.72% -1.72% -1.72%
LONG April 21, 2023 → Dec. 14, 2023 April 24, 2023 @ 376.14 Dec. 15, 2023 @ 562.22 165 61.48% -2.33% 49.47%
SHORT March 17, 2023 → March 23, 2023 March 20, 2023 @ 321.40 March 24, 2023 @ 328.19 5 -0.54% -2.11% -2.11%
SHORT March 10, 2023 → March 13, 2023 March 13, 2023 @ 309.74 March 14, 2023 @ 319.34 2 -2.29% -3.10% -3.10%
LONG Sept. 22, 2022 → Jan. 19, 2023 Sept. 23, 2022 @ 302.71 Jan. 20, 2023 @ 336.80 82 20.49% -1.40% 11.26%
LONG March 15, 2022 → Aug. 3, 2022 March 16, 2022 @ 267.91 Aug. 4, 2022 @ 295.85 98 19.75% -0.51% 10.43%
LONG Dec. 15, 2021 → Jan. 12, 2022 Dec. 16, 2021 @ 264.70 Jan. 13, 2022 @ 239.74 20 1.22% -9.43% -9.43%
LONG Nov. 4, 2021 → Nov. 4, 2021 Nov. 5, 2021 @ 257.46 Nov. 5, 2021 @ 253.64 1 -1.48% -1.48% -1.48%
SHORT Sept. 30, 2021 → Oct. 22, 2021 Oct. 1, 2021 @ 221.10 Oct. 25, 2021 @ 234.55 17 2.66% -6.08% -6.08%
LONG Aug. 3, 2021 → Sept. 8, 2021 Aug. 4, 2021 @ 244.24 Sept. 9, 2021 @ 229.71 26 6.87% -5.95% -5.95%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
1205.94
Price EMA100
1126.27
Price EMA200
1055.26
Volume MA20
2292241

Distance & streak

% from MA20
-3.95%
% from EMA100
2.91%
MA20 streak
5
Above
0
Below
5

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
107%
OBV
323472520

Candle

Close / Open %
-0.35%
Body
4.070
Upper shadow
23.680
Lower shadow
2.080
Total range
29.830
Body / range
0.14
Upper / range
0.79
Lower / range
0.07
Lower 7% Body 14% Upper 79%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

No bullish pattern Has bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0