Eli Lilly and Company

LLY.XETRA

Unconditional (B1)

Aug. 2, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1297
Next adj up
53.3%
Mean
14.8 bp
Median
14.9 bp
Down / flat
45.9% / 0.8%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
30.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BEARISH
Price Analysis
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

31

Open

1

Long / short

17 / 14

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

41.9%

Mean PnL

2.92%

Median PnL

-0.58%

Sum PnL

90.5%

Long / short mean

7.59% / -2.75%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

93.5%

Mean PnL

9.43%

Median PnL

3.00%

Sum PnL

292.3%

Long / short mean

14.49% / 3.28%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG · open May 28, 2026 → Sept. 2, 2026 May 29, 2026 @ 969.40 70 12.40% -5.30%
SHORT April 21, 2026 → April 29, 2026 April 22, 2026 @ 772.16 April 30, 2026 @ 786.33 7 5.30% -1.84% -1.84%
LONG Oct. 17, 2025 → March 4, 2026 Oct. 20, 2025 @ 686.62 March 5, 2026 @ 835.85 94 38.04% -0.46% 21.73%
SHORT Sept. 25, 2025 → Sept. 30, 2025 Sept. 26, 2025 @ 617.86 Oct. 1, 2025 @ 688.21 4 0.87% -11.39% -11.39%
SHORT Aug. 28, 2025 → Sept. 16, 2025 Aug. 29, 2025 @ 624.13 Sept. 17, 2025 @ 648.91 14 1.80% -3.97% -3.97%
SHORT July 29, 2025 → Aug. 25, 2025 July 30, 2025 @ 658.28 Aug. 26, 2025 @ 618.26 20 18.25% -0.94% 6.08%
SHORT July 15, 2025 → July 25, 2025 July 16, 2025 @ 654.61 July 28, 2025 @ 694.82 9 0.67% -6.14% -6.14%
SHORT April 9, 2025 → April 11, 2025 April 10, 2025 @ 681.14 April 14, 2025 @ 652.90 3 7.77% 4.15% 4.15%
SHORT April 3, 2025 → April 7, 2025 April 4, 2025 @ 703.54 April 8, 2025 @ 678.17 3 7.87% 3.61% 3.61%
LONG Feb. 25, 2025 → March 3, 2025 Feb. 26, 2025 @ 852.77 March 4, 2025 @ 852.97 5 3.03% 0.02% 0.02%
SHORT Jan. 14, 2025 → Jan. 27, 2025 Jan. 15, 2025 @ 712.35 Jan. 28, 2025 @ 763.21 10 3.00% -7.14% -7.14%
SHORT Nov. 18, 2024 → Nov. 25, 2024 Nov. 19, 2024 @ 679.50 Nov. 26, 2024 @ 757.96 6 0.36% -11.55% -11.55%
LONG Aug. 8, 2024 → Sept. 4, 2024 Aug. 9, 2024 @ 769.75 Sept. 5, 2024 @ 809.20 20 12.30% 4.40% 5.12%
LONG July 19, 2024 → July 24, 2024 July 22, 2024 @ 785.24 July 25, 2024 @ 757.62 4 2.50% -3.52% -3.52%
LONG Dec. 27, 2023 → July 16, 2024 Dec. 28, 2023 @ 514.83 July 17, 2024 @ 827.17 141 67.24% 0.48% 60.67%
LONG July 18, 2023 → Dec. 20, 2023 July 19, 2023 @ 394.64 Dec. 21, 2023 @ 510.40 112 45.53% -0.25% 29.33%
LONG June 23, 2023 → June 30, 2023 June 26, 2023 @ 415.41 July 3, 2023 @ 412.08 6 1.23% -2.45% -0.80%
LONG June 2, 2023 → June 5, 2023 June 5, 2023 @ 406.20 June 6, 2023 @ 403.85 2 0.24% -0.58% -0.58%
LONG May 3, 2023 → May 29, 2023 May 4, 2023 @ 380.97 May 30, 2023 @ 387.79 19 5.39% -0.41% 1.79%
LONG April 21, 2023 → April 28, 2023 April 24, 2023 @ 342.07 May 2, 2023 @ 358.10 6 4.69% -3.20% 4.69%
SHORT March 27, 2023 → March 30, 2023 March 28, 2023 @ 304.93 March 31, 2023 @ 307.38 4 0.66% -0.80% -0.80%
SHORT March 22, 2023 → March 22, 2023 March 23, 2023 @ 298.09 March 23, 2023 @ 299.41 1 -0.44% -0.44% -0.44%
SHORT Feb. 28, 2023 → March 14, 2023 March 1, 2023 @ 288.12 March 15, 2023 @ 303.62 11 0.10% -5.38% -5.38%
SHORT Feb. 2, 2023 → Feb. 2, 2023 Feb. 3, 2023 @ 297.20 Feb. 3, 2023 @ 306.90 1 -3.26% -3.26% -3.26%
LONG Sept. 22, 2022 → Dec. 12, 2022 Sept. 23, 2022 @ 311.08 Dec. 13, 2022 @ 334.76 58 15.06% 0.08% 7.61%
LONG Sept. 7, 2022 → Sept. 16, 2022 Sept. 8, 2022 @ 302.14 Sept. 19, 2022 @ 293.54 8 2.04% -2.85% -2.85%
LONG Aug. 5, 2022 → Aug. 10, 2022 Aug. 8, 2022 @ 282.80 Aug. 11, 2022 @ 283.72 4 2.28% 0.33% 0.33%
LONG March 11, 2022 → Aug. 2, 2022 March 14, 2022 @ 238.31 Aug. 3, 2022 @ 300.54 101 33.54% -0.89% 26.12%
LONG Dec. 15, 2021 → Jan. 11, 2022 Dec. 16, 2021 @ 234.26 Jan. 12, 2022 @ 212.41 18 1.52% -9.33% -9.33%
LONG Nov. 17, 2021 → Dec. 7, 2021 Nov. 18, 2021 @ 223.00 Dec. 8, 2021 @ 204.14 15 1.90% -8.46% -8.46%
SHORT Sept. 22, 2021 → Sept. 28, 2021 Sept. 23, 2021 @ 188.04 Sept. 29, 2021 @ 188.81 5 3.01% -1.51% -0.41%
LONG Aug. 3, 2021 → Sept. 8, 2021 Aug. 4, 2021 @ 204.17 Sept. 9, 2021 @ 198.31 27 9.81% -2.87% -2.87%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
1043.59
Price EMA100
979.04
Price EMA200
916.59
Volume MA20
880

Distance & streak

% from MA20
-3.08%
% from EMA100
3.29%
MA20 streak
5
Above
0
Below
5

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
100%
OBV
334979

Candle

Close / Open %
0.48%
Body
4.800
Upper shadow
9.800
Lower shadow
5.400
Total range
20.000
Body / range
0.24
Upper / range
0.49
Lower / range
0.27
Lower 27% Body 24% Upper 49%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

No bullish pattern No bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0