Microsoft Corporation

MSF.XETRA

Unconditional (B1)

Aug. 2, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1297
Next adj up
51.7%
Mean
6.1 bp
Median
4.9 bp
Down / flat
47.6% / 0.6%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
15.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

29

Open

1

Long / short

14 / 15

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

41.4%

Mean PnL

0.84%

Median PnL

-1.88%

Sum PnL

24.3%

Long / short mean

2.75% / -0.95%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

79.3%

Mean PnL

6.06%

Median PnL

2.11%

Sum PnL

175.9%

Long / short mean

8.39% / 3.90%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG · open Aug. 4, 2026 → Sept. 2, 2026 Aug. 5, 2026 @ 425.90 22 4.21% -3.40%
SHORT June 29, 2026 → July 27, 2026 June 30, 2026 @ 325.55 July 28, 2026 @ 350.55 21 0.32% -7.68% -7.68%
SHORT June 25, 2026 → June 25, 2026 June 26, 2026 @ 313.05 June 26, 2026 @ 325.00 1 -3.82% -3.82% -3.82%
SHORT April 30, 2026 → May 14, 2026 May 4, 2026 @ 352.33 May 15, 2026 @ 362.51 10 2.24% -2.89% -2.89%
SHORT April 1, 2026 → April 16, 2026 April 2, 2026 @ 315.81 April 17, 2026 @ 363.55 10 0.25% -15.12% -15.12%
SHORT March 25, 2026 → March 27, 2026 March 26, 2026 @ 320.10 March 30, 2026 @ 316.91 3 2.57% 0.61% 1.00%
SHORT Jan. 2, 2026 → March 20, 2026 Jan. 5, 2026 @ 403.18 March 23, 2026 @ 329.73 56 18.92% -2.90% 18.22%
SHORT Dec. 3, 2025 → Dec. 10, 2025 Dec. 4, 2025 @ 409.55 Dec. 11, 2025 @ 406.82 6 0.67% -2.72% 0.67%
LONG Nov. 14, 2025 → Nov. 17, 2025 Nov. 17, 2025 @ 438.51 Nov. 18, 2025 @ 422.06 2 -0.77% -3.75% -3.75%
LONG June 3, 2025 → Nov. 5, 2025 June 4, 2025 @ 402.37 Nov. 6, 2025 @ 428.52 112 15.62% 0.31% 6.50%
SHORT March 4, 2025 → April 8, 2025 March 5, 2025 @ 362.10 April 9, 2025 @ 322.44 26 11.02% -1.04% 10.95%
LONG Nov. 6, 2024 → Jan. 29, 2025 Nov. 7, 2024 @ 385.60 Jan. 30, 2025 @ 393.07 56 10.95% 0.37% 1.94%
SHORT Sept. 6, 2024 → Sept. 12, 2024 Sept. 9, 2024 @ 360.14 Sept. 13, 2024 @ 381.60 5 -0.30% -5.96% -5.96%
LONG June 13, 2024 → July 16, 2024 June 14, 2024 @ 405.23 July 17, 2024 @ 397.60 24 4.58% -1.88% -1.88%
LONG May 27, 2024 → May 30, 2024 May 28, 2024 @ 391.34 May 31, 2024 @ 369.62 4 0.03% -5.55% -5.55%
LONG Feb. 22, 2024 → April 23, 2024 Feb. 23, 2024 @ 375.14 April 24, 2024 @ 375.83 42 4.43% -3.28% 0.18%
LONG Sept. 29, 2023 → Jan. 30, 2024 Oct. 2, 2023 @ 295.51 Jan. 31, 2024 @ 364.84 85 25.70% -0.48% 23.46%
LONG Sept. 11, 2023 → Sept. 25, 2023 Sept. 12, 2023 @ 307.71 Sept. 26, 2023 @ 288.70 11 1.26% -6.18% -6.18%
LONG March 13, 2023 → Aug. 17, 2023 March 14, 2023 @ 232.80 Aug. 18, 2023 @ 283.80 111 35.05% 1.61% 21.91%
SHORT Dec. 15, 2022 → Feb. 1, 2023 Dec. 16, 2022 @ 227.58 Feb. 2, 2023 @ 233.67 34 10.31% -2.67% -2.67%
SHORT Oct. 26, 2022 → Dec. 12, 2022 Oct. 27, 2022 @ 224.35 Dec. 13, 2022 @ 238.39 34 4.74% -6.26% -6.26%
SHORT Sept. 29, 2022 → Sept. 30, 2022 Sept. 30, 2022 @ 237.07 Oct. 3, 2022 @ 234.79 2 0.96% -0.33% 0.96%
SHORT July 13, 2022 → July 14, 2022 July 14, 2022 @ 243.32 July 15, 2022 @ 248.17 2 0.48% -1.99% -1.99%
SHORT May 5, 2022 → July 5, 2022 May 6, 2022 @ 255.38 July 6, 2022 @ 251.08 44 11.44% 0.98% 1.69%
LONG April 27, 2022 → April 29, 2022 April 28, 2022 @ 263.56 May 2, 2022 @ 257.27 3 -0.68% -2.39% -2.39%
SHORT March 8, 2022 → March 8, 2022 March 9, 2022 @ 246.00 March 9, 2022 @ 249.34 1 -1.36% -1.36% -1.36%
LONG Nov. 29, 2021 → Jan. 6, 2022 Nov. 30, 2021 @ 286.43 Jan. 7, 2022 @ 266.45 27 2.11% -6.98% -6.98%
LONG Oct. 6, 2021 → Nov. 25, 2021 Oct. 7, 2021 @ 246.70 Nov. 26, 2021 @ 282.23 37 20.23% -0.78% 14.40%
LONG Sept. 14, 2021 → Sept. 17, 2021 Sept. 15, 2021 @ 247.09 Sept. 20, 2021 @ 242.12 4 0.06% -2.01% -2.01%
LONG Aug. 20, 2021 → Aug. 20, 2021 Aug. 23, 2021 @ 252.72 Aug. 23, 2021 @ 249.83 1 -1.14% -1.14% -1.14%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
426.73
Price EMA100
378.92
Price EMA200
376.76
Volume MA20
23502

Distance & streak

% from MA20
0.30%
% from EMA100
11.47%
MA20 streak
28
Above
28
Below
0

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
74%
OBV
1238198

Candle

Close / Open %
-0.63%
Body
2.700
Upper shadow
1.550
Lower shadow
0.750
Total range
5.000
Body / range
0.54
Upper / range
0.31
Lower / range
0.15
Lower 15% Body 54% Upper 31%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

No bullish pattern Has bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0