Microsoft Corporation

MSFT.US

Unconditional (B1)

July 26, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1282
Next adj up
51.7%
Mean
6.1 bp
Median
4.9 bp
Down / flat
48.2% / 0.1%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
0.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
Live
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

25

Open

0

Long / short

14 / 11

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

44.0%

Mean PnL

-0.44%

Median PnL

-1.07%

Sum PnL

-11.0%

Long / short mean

-0.05% / -0.94%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

76.0%

Mean PnL

4.79%

Median PnL

1.74%

Sum PnL

119.9%

Long / short mean

3.89% / 5.94%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
SHORT June 25, 2026 → June 25, 2026 June 26, 2026 @ 357.15 June 26, 2026 @ 372.97 1 -4.43% -4.43% -4.43%
SHORT Dec. 10, 2025 → April 20, 2026 Dec. 11, 2025 @ 474.52 April 21, 2026 @ 423.24 89 24.98% -2.39% 10.81%
LONG Sept. 19, 2025 → Oct. 27, 2025 Sept. 22, 2025 @ 512.35 Oct. 28, 2025 @ 538.66 27 5.14% -1.66% 5.14%
LONG Aug. 4, 2025 → Sept. 4, 2025 Aug. 5, 2025 @ 532.92 Sept. 5, 2025 @ 491.88 23 -1.48% -7.70% -7.70%
LONG June 23, 2025 → June 26, 2025 June 24, 2025 @ 485.08 June 27, 2025 @ 492.01 4 1.74% 0.24% 1.43%
SHORT April 10, 2025 → April 30, 2025 April 11, 2025 @ 376.93 May 1, 2025 @ 421.26 14 5.65% -11.76% -11.76%
SHORT April 8, 2025 → April 8, 2025 April 9, 2025 @ 350.10 April 9, 2025 @ 386.69 1 -10.45% -10.45% -10.45%
SHORT April 4, 2025 → April 4, 2025 April 7, 2025 @ 347.46 April 7, 2025 @ 354.37 1 -1.99% -1.99% -1.99%
SHORT March 10, 2025 → March 20, 2025 March 11, 2025 @ 375.31 March 21, 2025 @ 387.45 9 0.06% -3.23% -3.23%
LONG Jan. 22, 2025 → Jan. 29, 2025 Jan. 23, 2025 @ 436.82 Jan. 30, 2025 @ 410.12 6 1.18% -6.11% -6.11%
SHORT Oct. 31, 2024 → Nov. 5, 2024 Nov. 1, 2024 @ 403.41 Nov. 6, 2024 @ 414.42 4 0.13% -2.73% -2.73%
LONG June 21, 2024 → June 27, 2024 June 24, 2024 @ 442.84 June 28, 2024 @ 440.03 5 0.68% -0.63% -0.63%
LONG Dec. 15, 2023 → April 29, 2024 Dec. 18, 2023 @ 362.41 April 30, 2024 @ 382.62 92 16.43% -0.46% 5.58%
LONG Nov. 20, 2023 → Dec. 13, 2023 Nov. 21, 2023 @ 368.51 Dec. 14, 2023 @ 358.96 17 1.87% -2.59% -2.59%
LONG July 25, 2023 → July 25, 2023 July 26, 2023 @ 333.55 July 26, 2023 @ 329.96 1 -1.07% -1.07% -1.07%
LONG July 18, 2023 → July 18, 2023 July 19, 2023 @ 353.39 July 19, 2023 @ 346.87 1 -1.84% -1.84% -1.84%
LONG April 27, 2023 → July 7, 2023 April 28, 2023 @ 296.34 July 10, 2023 @ 324.16 49 14.75% 0.13% 9.39%
LONG March 15, 2023 → April 24, 2023 March 16, 2023 @ 258.51 April 25, 2023 @ 268.47 28 9.95% 2.65% 3.85%
SHORT Dec. 15, 2022 → Jan. 25, 2023 Dec. 16, 2022 @ 241.67 Jan. 26, 2023 @ 241.14 27 10.56% 0.22% 0.22%
SHORT Sept. 13, 2022 → Nov. 9, 2022 Sept. 14, 2022 @ 245.82 Nov. 10, 2022 @ 235.59 42 15.49% 0.52% 4.16%
SHORT April 6, 2022 → July 27, 2022 April 7, 2022 @ 286.36 July 28, 2022 @ 267.44 77 18.15% -1.59% 6.61%
SHORT Jan. 26, 2022 → Feb. 23, 2022 Jan. 27, 2022 @ 291.55 Feb. 24, 2022 @ 284.36 20 7.21% -3.57% 2.47%
LONG Dec. 10, 2021 → Jan. 4, 2022 Dec. 13, 2021 @ 328.17 Jan. 5, 2022 @ 304.77 17 0.52% -7.13% -7.13%
LONG Oct. 27, 2021 → Nov. 29, 2021 Oct. 28, 2021 @ 311.85 Nov. 30, 2021 @ 318.46 23 5.98% 0.01% 2.12%
LONG Aug. 20, 2021 → Sept. 16, 2021 Aug. 23, 2021 @ 291.59 Sept. 17, 2021 @ 288.34 19 0.65% -2.49% -1.11%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
495.17
Price EMA100
438.68
Price EMA200
436.19
Volume MA20
23228435

Distance & streak

% from MA20
0.33%
% from EMA100
11.70%
MA20 streak
28
Above
28
Below
0

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
66%
OBV
737555548

Candle

Close / Open %
-0.61%
Body
3.030
Upper shadow
0.420
Lower shadow
3.010
Total range
6.460
Body / range
0.47
Upper / range
0.07
Lower / range
0.47
Lower 47% Body 47% Upper 7%

MA inside candle

MA20 in EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

No bullish pattern Has bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0