Novartis AG

NOVN.SW

Unconditional (B1)

Aug. 16, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1269
Next adj up
53.1%
Mean
5.9 bp
Median
7.2 bp
Down / flat
46.1% / 0.8%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
60.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

28

Open

1

Long / short

22 / 6

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

32.1%

Mean PnL

-0.81%

Median PnL

-1.31%

Sum PnL

-22.8%

Long / short mean

-0.69% / -1.26%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

78.6%

Mean PnL

3.35%

Median PnL

1.41%

Sum PnL

93.9%

Long / short mean

3.39% / 3.21%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG · open July 21, 2026 → Sept. 2, 2026 July 22, 2026 @ 125.00 32 5.06% -2.05%
LONG April 30, 2026 → April 30, 2026 May 4, 2026 @ 115.50 May 4, 2026 @ 113.84 1 -1.44% -1.44% -1.44%
LONG Nov. 26, 2025 → April 23, 2026 Nov. 27, 2025 @ 101.65 April 24, 2026 @ 113.70 99 24.59% -0.46% 11.86%
LONG Sept. 19, 2025 → Oct. 27, 2025 Sept. 22, 2025 @ 94.74 Oct. 28, 2025 @ 95.95 27 9.22% -0.10% 1.28%
LONG Sept. 11, 2025 → Sept. 15, 2025 Sept. 12, 2025 @ 96.24 Sept. 16, 2025 @ 94.02 3 -0.32% -2.31% -2.31%
LONG Aug. 4, 2025 → Aug. 5, 2025 Aug. 5, 2025 @ 92.56 Aug. 6, 2025 @ 89.64 2 0.09% -3.16% -3.16%
LONG Feb. 21, 2025 → April 3, 2025 Feb. 24, 2025 @ 91.79 April 4, 2025 @ 89.31 30 5.50% -2.69% -2.69%
SHORT Nov. 25, 2024 → Jan. 28, 2025 Nov. 26, 2024 @ 86.17 Jan. 29, 2025 @ 87.55 41 5.71% -1.60% -1.60%
LONG Sept. 20, 2024 → Oct. 28, 2024 Sept. 23, 2024 @ 92.22 Oct. 29, 2024 @ 89.71 27 2.60% -2.72% -2.72%
LONG Sept. 9, 2024 → Sept. 9, 2024 Sept. 10, 2024 @ 93.04 Sept. 10, 2024 @ 92.58 1 -0.49% -0.49% -0.49%
LONG Sept. 4, 2024 → Sept. 4, 2024 Sept. 5, 2024 @ 93.79 Sept. 5, 2024 @ 92.68 1 -1.19% -1.19% -1.19%
LONG Aug. 30, 2024 → Sept. 2, 2024 Sept. 2, 2024 @ 95.89 Sept. 3, 2024 @ 94.97 2 0.35% -0.96% -0.96%
LONG April 22, 2024 → July 18, 2024 April 23, 2024 @ 84.40 July 19, 2024 @ 88.26 61 11.08% -2.34% 4.57%
LONG Jan. 3, 2024 → Feb. 9, 2024 Jan. 4, 2024 @ 80.43 Feb. 12, 2024 @ 79.18 28 5.98% -1.56% -1.56%
LONG Dec. 13, 2023 → Dec. 14, 2023 Dec. 14, 2023 @ 78.31 Dec. 15, 2023 @ 76.57 2 -1.31% -2.23% -2.23%
LONG Sept. 14, 2023 → Oct. 18, 2023 Sept. 15, 2023 @ 78.76 Oct. 19, 2023 @ 76.53 25 2.83% -2.83% -2.83%
LONG July 18, 2023 → Aug. 30, 2023 July 19, 2023 @ 75.79 Aug. 31, 2023 @ 76.44 31 3.07% 0.45% 0.86%
LONG June 16, 2023 → July 6, 2023 June 19, 2023 @ 77.88 July 7, 2023 @ 72.67 15 -0.16% -6.69% -6.69%
LONG April 25, 2023 → May 30, 2023 April 26, 2023 @ 79.18 May 31, 2023 @ 74.60 23 1.30% -5.93% -5.78%
SHORT March 17, 2023 → March 24, 2023 March 20, 2023 @ 65.29 March 27, 2023 @ 70.40 6 0.63% -7.83% -7.83%
SHORT March 9, 2023 → March 15, 2023 March 10, 2023 @ 64.37 March 16, 2023 @ 65.89 5 0.78% -2.37% -2.37%
LONG Nov. 18, 2022 → Jan. 16, 2023 Nov. 21, 2022 @ 66.81 Jan. 17, 2023 @ 70.12 40 5.71% 0.60% 4.97%
SHORT Nov. 11, 2022 → Nov. 11, 2022 Nov. 14, 2022 @ 64.60 Nov. 14, 2022 @ 64.55 1 0.09% 0.09% 0.09%
SHORT Sept. 16, 2022 → Sept. 26, 2022 Sept. 19, 2022 @ 63.33 Sept. 27, 2022 @ 60.93 7 4.32% -0.47% 3.79%
LONG April 8, 2022 → June 13, 2022 April 11, 2022 @ 70.85 June 14, 2022 @ 66.12 43 1.53% -6.68% -6.68%
LONG March 11, 2022 → March 17, 2022 March 14, 2022 @ 63.73 March 18, 2022 @ 66.17 5 3.83% 2.10% 3.83%
LONG Feb. 28, 2022 → March 2, 2022 March 1, 2022 @ 63.06 March 3, 2022 @ 62.33 3 0.77% -1.16% -1.16%
LONG Feb. 3, 2022 → Feb. 11, 2022 Feb. 4, 2022 @ 62.54 Feb. 14, 2022 @ 62.10 7 1.05% -0.70% -0.70%
SHORT Sept. 9, 2021 → Dec. 15, 2021 Sept. 10, 2021 @ 62.43 Dec. 16, 2021 @ 62.19 70 7.74% 0.38% 0.38%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
126.01
Price EMA100
122.49
Price EMA200
117.15
Volume MA20
2118016

Distance & streak

% from MA20
4.04%
% from EMA100
6.73%
MA20 streak
1
Above
1
Below
0

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
172%
OBV
291337374

Candle

Close / Open %
-0.12%
Body
0.160
Upper shadow
1.120
Lower shadow
1.640
Total range
2.920
Body / range
0.05
Upper / range
0.38
Lower / range
0.56
Lower 56% Body 5% Upper 38%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

No bullish pattern No bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0