Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

TSM.US

Unconditional (B1)

July 30, 2021 → Sept. 2, 2026 · adj close-to-close · always long

n
1278
Next adj up
50.6%
Mean
13.4 bp
Median
2.7 bp
Down / flat
49.2% / 0.2%
Analysis Summary

Sept. 2, 2026

Stack score
5
Trend strength
0.00
MA stack
3X_BULLISH_STACK
Signal
Bias
BULLISH
Price Analysis
Live
TS episodes

Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.

Episodes

Count · side mix

Closed

23

Open

0

Long / short

15 / 8

Rules-based

TS = 0 exit

Hit

34.8%

Mean PnL

1.88%

Median PnL

-1.92%

Sum PnL

43.2%

Long / short mean

3.53% / -1.21%

Optimal

Best PnL path

Hit

87.0%

Mean PnL

10.64%

Median PnL

6.13%

Sum PnL

244.8%

Long / short mean

11.65% / 8.77%

Side TS window Entry Exit Bars Best PnL Worst PnL PnL
LONG April 24, 2026 → July 27, 2026 April 27, 2026 @ 412.99 July 28, 2026 @ 392.31 64 15.64% -5.17% -5.01%
LONG March 3, 2026 → March 12, 2026 March 4, 2026 @ 355.97 March 13, 2026 @ 336.93 8 0.00% -5.80% -5.35%
LONG Sept. 2, 2025 → Jan. 5, 2026 Sept. 3, 2025 @ 229.41 Jan. 6, 2026 @ 326.09 87 42.14% -0.06% 42.14%
LONG Aug. 20, 2025 → Aug. 28, 2025 Aug. 21, 2025 @ 226.07 Aug. 29, 2025 @ 228.77 7 4.88% -0.36% 1.19%
LONG July 15, 2025 → Aug. 6, 2025 July 16, 2025 @ 234.25 Aug. 7, 2025 @ 240.41 17 3.89% -2.13% 2.63%
SHORT April 3, 2025 → May 1, 2025 April 4, 2025 @ 149.04 May 2, 2025 @ 177.08 20 6.31% -18.82% -18.82%
LONG Jan. 28, 2025 → Feb. 21, 2025 Jan. 29, 2025 @ 201.35 Feb. 24, 2025 @ 188.71 18 2.94% -6.28% -6.28%
LONG Nov. 21, 2024 → Jan. 24, 2025 Nov. 22, 2024 @ 189.51 Jan. 27, 2025 @ 189.36 42 16.71% -6.09% -0.08%
LONG Sept. 19, 2024 → Sept. 19, 2024 Sept. 20, 2024 @ 171.76 Sept. 20, 2024 @ 170.98 1 -0.45% -0.45% -0.45%
LONG June 5, 2024 → June 17, 2024 June 6, 2024 @ 160.72 June 18, 2024 @ 175.98 9 9.50% -1.49% 9.50%
LONG May 10, 2024 → May 22, 2024 May 13, 2024 @ 144.60 May 23, 2024 @ 153.46 9 6.13% -1.09% 6.13%
LONG Jan. 8, 2024 → April 18, 2024 Jan. 9, 2024 @ 98.32 April 19, 2024 @ 124.75 71 47.65% -0.25% 26.89%
SHORT Oct. 25, 2023 → Nov. 2, 2023 Oct. 26, 2023 @ 84.37 Nov. 3, 2023 @ 88.89 7 1.30% -5.36% -5.36%
SHORT Sept. 7, 2023 → Oct. 10, 2023 Sept. 8, 2023 @ 87.41 Oct. 11, 2023 @ 89.10 24 6.62% -1.92% -1.92%
SHORT Aug. 24, 2023 → Aug. 28, 2023 Aug. 25, 2023 @ 88.86 Aug. 29, 2023 @ 91.59 3 -0.92% -3.07% -3.07%
LONG May 25, 2023 → May 30, 2023 May 26, 2023 @ 96.73 May 31, 2023 @ 94.56 3 2.34% -2.24% -2.24%
LONG Jan. 13, 2023 → April 20, 2023 Jan. 17, 2023 @ 82.29 April 21, 2023 @ 81.88 67 13.62% -0.49% -0.49%
SHORT Sept. 13, 2022 → Nov. 9, 2022 Sept. 14, 2022 @ 75.24 Nov. 10, 2022 @ 67.23 42 23.96% 0.10% 10.64%
SHORT Feb. 25, 2022 → Aug. 1, 2022 Feb. 28, 2022 @ 102.18 Aug. 2, 2022 @ 81.19 108 30.23% -0.36% 20.54%
LONG Jan. 3, 2022 → Jan. 26, 2022 Jan. 4, 2022 @ 122.27 Jan. 27, 2022 @ 108.73 17 7.48% -11.07% -11.07%
LONG Nov. 18, 2021 → Dec. 10, 2021 Nov. 19, 2021 @ 113.54 Dec. 13, 2021 @ 108.32 16 2.23% -4.60% -4.60%
SHORT Oct. 12, 2021 → Oct. 18, 2021 Oct. 13, 2021 @ 101.71 Oct. 19, 2021 @ 108.82 5 -0.60% -6.99% -6.99%
SHORT Aug. 17, 2021 → Aug. 24, 2021 Aug. 18, 2021 @ 103.54 Aug. 25, 2021 @ 108.44 6 3.24% -4.73% -4.73%
Full Analysis

Sept. 2, 2026

Moving averages

Price MA20
419.55
Price EMA100
405.66
Price EMA200
372.50
Volume MA20
8927999

Distance & streak

% from MA20
-0.98%
% from EMA100
2.37%
MA20 streak
3
Above
0
Below
3

Volume

Vol / Vol MA
71%
OBV
457390985

Candle

Close / Open %
0.56%
Body
2.300
Upper shadow
1.000
Lower shadow
1.930
Total range
5.230
Body / range
0.44
Upper / range
0.19
Lower / range
0.37
Lower 37% Body 44% Upper 19%

MA inside candle

MA20 out EMA100 out EMA200 out

Candle patterns

Has bullish pattern No bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji Gravestone Doji Bullish Doji Bearish Doji Hammer Hanging Man Inverted Hammer Shooting Star Bullish Spinning Top Bearish Spinning Top Bullish Fat Body Bearish Fat Body Fed Cow Starving Cow

Stack flags

Perfect bullish Perfect bearish Bullish trend change Bearish trend change Fresh 3× bullish Fresh 3× bearish

Trend deltas · H1–H8

Long regime

H1

Bullish pullback

0

H2

Bullish momentum

0

H3

Strong bullish mom.

0

H4

Bearish warning

0

Short regime

H5

Bearish pullback

0

H6

Bearish momentum

0

H7

Strong bearish mom.

0

H8

Bullish warning

0