Unconditional
Always long · adj close-to-close · April 14, 2025 → Oct. 30, 2026
Hold PnL
+17.1%
132.67 (April 14, 2025) → 155.30 (Oct. 30, 2026)
- n
- 387
- Next adj up
- 56.1%
- Mean
- 4.8 bp
- Median
- 14.1 bp
- Down / flat
- 42.1% / 1.8%
Price Analysis
Strategy PnL
Hold vs rules-based vs optimal path
Hold
+17.1%
Buy and hold
Rules-based
-11.5%
Sum PnL · TS = 0 exit
Optimal path
+14.5%
Sum of best PnL
TS episodes
Long while TS>0, short while TS<0. Entry = next adj open. Exit = adj close of the TS=0 day.
Episodes
Count · side mix
Closed
10
Open
1
Long / short
9 / 1
Rules-based
TS = 0 exit
Hit
50.0%
Mean PnL
-1.15%
Median PnL
0.31%
Sum PnL
-11.5%
Long / short mean
0.61% / -16.95%
Optimal
Best PnL path
Hit
70.0%
Mean PnL
1.45%
Median PnL
1.35%
Sum PnL
14.5%
Long / short mean
1.66% / -0.45%
| Side | TS window | Entry | Exit | Bars | Best PnL | Worst PnL | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG · open | Oct. 2, 2026 → Oct. 30, 2026 | Oct. 5, 2026 @ 160.16 | — | 21 | 1.39% | -3.03% | — |
| LONG | Aug. 4, 2026 → Aug. 14, 2026 | Aug. 5, 2026 @ 157.14 | Aug. 17, 2026 @ 158.66 | 9 | 1.17% | -0.29% | 0.97% |
| LONG | May 13, 2026 → July 24, 2026 | May 15, 2026 @ 146.28 | July 27, 2026 @ 152.20 | 51 | 4.98% | -0.89% | 4.05% |
| LONG | March 4, 2026 → March 4, 2026 | March 5, 2026 @ 135.16 | March 5, 2026 @ 134.36 | 1 | -0.59% | -0.59% | -0.59% |
| LONG | Feb. 17, 2026 → March 2, 2026 | Feb. 18, 2026 @ 135.50 | March 3, 2026 @ 133.98 | 10 | 1.54% | -1.12% | -1.12% |
| LONG | Dec. 30, 2025 → Feb. 13, 2026 | Jan. 5, 2026 @ 136.00 | Feb. 16, 2026 @ 134.58 | 31 | 3.00% | -1.79% | -1.04% |
| LONG | Nov. 19, 2025 → Dec. 19, 2025 | Nov. 20, 2025 @ 133.40 | Dec. 22, 2025 @ 134.56 | 23 | 2.05% | -2.43% | 0.87% |
| LONG | Oct. 21, 2025 → Nov. 3, 2025 | Oct. 22, 2025 @ 132.80 | Nov. 4, 2025 @ 135.08 | 10 | 2.14% | -0.66% | 1.72% |
| LONG | Oct. 1, 2025 → Oct. 1, 2025 | Oct. 2, 2025 @ 131.86 | Oct. 2, 2025 @ 131.70 | 1 | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.12% |
| LONG | Aug. 21, 2025 → Aug. 22, 2025 | Aug. 22, 2025 @ 127.00 | Aug. 25, 2025 @ 127.94 | 2 | 0.79% | 0.74% | 0.74% |
| SHORT | April 17, 2025 → July 23, 2025 | April 22, 2025 @ 106.78 | July 24, 2025 @ 124.88 | 65 | -0.45% | -16.95% | -16.95% |
Full Analysis
Oct. 30, 2026
Moving averages
- Price MA20
- 159.09
- Price EMA100
- 155.06
- Price EMA200
- 149.39
- Volume MA20
- 27354
Distance & streak
- % from MA20
- -2.44%
- % from EMA100
- 0.15%
- MA20 streak
- 12
- Above
- 0
- Below
- 12
Volume
- Vol / Vol MA
- 160%
- OBV
- 235847
Candle
- Close / Open %
- -0.50%
- Body
- 0.780
- Upper shadow
- 0.520
- Lower shadow
- 0.300
- Total range
- 1.600
- Body / range
- 0.49
- Upper / range
- 0.33
- Lower / range
- 0.19
Lower 19%
Body 49%
Upper 33%
MA inside candle
MA20 out
EMA100 in
EMA200 out
Candle patterns
No bullish pattern
Has bearish pattern
Dragonfly Doji
Gravestone Doji
Bullish Doji
Bearish Doji
Hammer
Hanging Man
Inverted Hammer
Shooting Star
Bullish Spinning Top
Bearish Spinning Top
Bullish Fat Body
Bearish Fat Body
Fed Cow
Starving Cow
Stack flags
Perfect bullish
Perfect bearish
Bullish trend change
Bearish trend change
Fresh 3× bullish
Fresh 3× bearish
Trend deltas · H1–H8
Long regime
H1
Bullish pullback
0
H2
Bullish momentum
0
H3
Strong bullish mom.
0
H4
Bearish warning
-35
Short regime
H5
Bearish pullback
0
H6
Bearish momentum
0
H7
Strong bearish mom.
0
H8
Bullish warning
0